Inference Investigation

Claim investigated: The recurring specific amount of $14.82 in multiple donations suggests an automated recurring contribution pattern, possibly subscription-based giving Entity: Peter Navarro Original confidence: inferential Result: CONFIRMED → PRIMARY

Assessment

The $14.82 recurring amount pattern is confirmed by FEC records showing this exact figure repeated on 2025-12-16, 2026-01-16, and 2026-02-16, establishing a clear automated monthly recurring donation pattern. However, this pattern belongs to an insurance worker in Pacoima, CA, not the former Trump advisor Peter Navarro, making the inference accurate but contextually irrelevant to the political figure.

Reasoning: FEC transaction records directly show three instances of $14.82 donations on the 16th of consecutive months (Dec 2025, Jan 2026, Feb 2026) from the same donor, definitively proving an automated recurring contribution pattern. The pattern is mathematically precise and temporally consistent.

Underreported Angles

• The specific $14.82 amount may correspond to ActBlue's minimum donation thresholds or suggested giving amounts that facilitate automated recurring donations
• The 16th-of-the-month timing suggests a payroll-based recurring donation setup, common among working-class donors who time contributions to payday cycles
• This case demonstrates how name confusion in political donor databases can lead to false associations between high-profile political figures and routine small-dollar donations

Public Records to Check

• FEC: Search all Peter Navarro donations to identify total number of $14.82 contributions and verify monthly pattern continues beyond February 2026 Would confirm the full scope of the recurring donation pattern and establish whether it continues systematically.

• FEC: Search ActBlue recipient committees for donations of exactly $14.82 from other donors to identify if this is a platform-suggested amount Would determine if $14.82 is a common recurring amount across ActBlue's platform or unique to this donor.

• other: Review ActBlue's donor interface and suggested contribution amounts for recurring donations Would explain the mechanism behind the specific $14.82 amount selection.

Significance

NOTABLE — While the inference is accurate and demonstrates automated political fundraising patterns, its significance is limited because it pertains to a private citizen rather than the high-profile political figure Peter Navarro. However, it illustrates important dynamics in small-dollar political fundraising and the challenges of donor identification in public records.